Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000193 0.000214 0.000236 0.000262 0.000291 0.000322 0.000359
2025-09-21 0.000152 0.000181 0.000215 0.000258 0.000311 0.000374 0.000456
2025-09-28 0.000124 0.000156 0.000196 0.000250 0.000320 0.000409 0.000533
2025-10-05 0.000111 0.000146 0.000191 0.000255 0.000343 0.000463 0.000640
2025-10-12 0.000100 0.000137 0.000186 0.000259 0.000365 0.000516 0.000751
2025-10-19 0.000090 0.000127 0.000178 0.000257 0.000377 0.000554 0.000846
2025-10-26 0.000083 0.000120 0.000174 0.000260 0.000394 0.000603 0.000962
2025-11-02 0.000076 0.000112 0.000167 0.000256 0.000402 0.000637 0.001057
2025-11-09 0.000070 0.000106 0.000162 0.000255 0.000413 0.000676 0.001166
2025-11-16 0.000064 0.000100 0.000155 0.000251 0.000417 0.000704 0.001259
2025-11-23 0.000059 0.000093 0.000148 0.000244 0.000417 0.000724 0.001340
2025-11-30 0.000056 0.000090 0.000146 0.000248 0.000435 0.000779 0.001495
2025-12-07 0.000053 0.000087 0.000145 0.000252 0.000454 0.000839 0.001674
2025-12-14 0.000049 0.000082 0.000138 0.000246 0.000457 0.000870 0.001798
2025-12-21 0.000044 0.000076 0.000131 0.000238 0.000451 0.000884 0.001891
2025-12-28 0.000042 0.000074 0.000130 0.000242 0.000474 0.000957 0.002128
2026-01-04 0.000041 0.000072 0.000129 0.000246 0.000494 0.001030 0.002379
2026-01-11 0.000038 0.000069 0.000126 0.000245 0.000503 0.001077 0.002575
2026-01-18 0.000037 0.000067 0.000124 0.000247 0.000521 0.001147 0.002844
2026-01-25 0.000034 0.000064 0.000120 0.000244 0.000526 0.001188 0.003043
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000061 0.000118 0.000243 0.000535 0.001241 0.003287
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000058 0.000114 0.000239 0.000536 0.001275 0.003481
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000055 0.000109 0.000232 0.000533 0.001295 0.003640